Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.434824 0.511100 0.594854 0.693377 0.805823 0.929869 1.076776
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.321256 0.422552 0.544633 0.701431 0.896181 1.128729 1.425890
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.244502 0.355978 0.501931 0.704252 0.974227 1.318473 1.786400
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.194320 0.310137 0.473403 0.715316 1.058539 1.520972 2.182437
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.155584 0.270505 0.443899 0.716737 1.125463 1.703248 2.566753
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.120903 0.228604 0.402151 0.691296 1.147038 1.820453 2.867854
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.103932 0.211379 0.394577 0.714911 1.241646 2.048814 3.345664
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.089272 0.194745 0.384496 0.731657 1.325307 2.265821 3.822027
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.081207 0.188496 0.390814 0.775755 1.456433 2.565671 4.446972
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.068415 0.170007 0.371637 0.771751 1.504879 2.735564 4.877394
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.057113 0.151980 0.350082 0.759753 1.536740 2.878766 5.272537
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.048318 0.137409 0.332749 0.752822 1.575734 3.035247 5.698356
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.042514 0.128780 0.326805 0.768417 1.659660 3.279049 6.295319
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.037006 0.119569 0.318096 0.777223 1.731551 3.507277 6.881920
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031945 0.110220 0.307429 0.780307 1.792200 3.719311 7.453930
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028139 0.103348 0.301349 0.792402 1.871765 3.971635 8.114183
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.024347 0.095437 0.291275 0.793957 1.929273 4.185764 8.717198
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.019878 0.083990 0.269957 0.766138 1.921188 4.271906 9.085885
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018148 0.081124 0.270930 0.791959 2.031879 4.598927 9.930529
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016345 0.077452 0.269009 0.810265 2.127284 4.901238 10.744267
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015651 0.077705 0.278384 0.858446 2.294623 5.360240 11.888404
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.013522 0.071689 0.268137 0.854073 2.339775 5.569463 12.549678
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.011484 0.065263 0.255328 0.840967 2.362740 5.733061 13.127841